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ESD | Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 879–894, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-879-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 879–894, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-879-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 21 Jun 2018

Research article | 21 Jun 2018

Climate sensitivity estimates – sensitivity to radiative forcing time series and observational data

Ragnhild Bieltvedt Skeie et al.
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Cited articles  
Aldrin, M., Holden, M., Guttorp, P., Skeie, R. B., Myhre, G., and Berntsen, T. K.: Bayesian estimation of climate sensitivity based on a simple climate model fitted to observations of hemispheric temperatures and global ocean heat content, Environmetrics, 23, 253–271, https://doi.org/10.1002/env.2140, 2012. 
Andrews, T., Gregory, J. M., Webb, M. J., and Taylor, K. E.: Forcing, feedbacks and climate sensitivity in CMIP5 coupled atmosphere-ocean climate models, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L09712, https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL051607, 2012. 
Andrews, T., Gregory, J. M., and Webb, M. J.: The Dependence of Radiative Forcing and Feedback on Evolving Patterns of Surface Temperature Change in Climate Models, J. Climate, 28, 1630–1648, https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-14-00545.1, 2015. 
Annan, J. D.: Recent Developments in Bayesian Estimation of Climate Sensitivity, Curr. Clim. Change Rep., 1, 263–267, https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-015-0023-5, 2015. 
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A key question in climate science is how the global mean surface temperature responds to changes in greenhouse gases. This dependency is quantified by the climate sensitivity, which is determined by the complex feedbacks in the climate system. In this study observations of past climate change are used to estimate this sensitivity. Our estimate is consistent with values for the equilibrium climate sensitivity estimated by complex climate models but sensitive to the use of uncertain input data.
A key question in climate science is how the global mean surface temperature responds to changes...
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