European climate change at global mean temperature increases of 1.5 and 2 °C above pre-industrial conditions as simulated by the EURO-CORDEX  regional climate models

Kjellström, Erik; Nikulin, Grigory; Strandberg, Gustav; Christensen, Ole Bøssing; Jacob, Daniela; Keuler, Klaus; Lenderink, Geert; van Meijgaard, Erik; Schär, Christoph; Somot, Samuel; Sørland, Silje Lund; Teichmann, Claas; Vautard, Robert

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-459-2018

Articles | Volume 9, issue 2

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-459-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Special issue:

The Earth system at a global warming of 1.5°C and 2.0°C

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-459-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 9, issue 2

Research article

|

09 May 2018

Research article |

| 09 May 2018

European climate change at global mean temperature increases of 1.5 and 2 °C above pre-industrial conditions as simulated by the EURO-CORDEX regional climate models

Erik Kjellström, Grigory Nikulin, Gustav Strandberg, Ole Bøssing Christensen, Daniela Jacob, Klaus Keuler, Geert Lenderink, Erik van Meijgaard, Christoph Schär, Samuel Somot, Silje Lund Sørland, Claas Teichmann, and Robert Vautard

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Final revised paper (published on 09 May 2018)
Supplement to the final revised paper
Preprint (discussion started on 17 Nov 2017)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Review of "European climate change at global mean temperature increases of 1.5 and 2°C above pre-industrial conditions as simulated by the EURO-CORDEX regional climate models"', Anonymous Referee #1, 14 Dec 2017
- AC1: 'Response to review comments', Erik Kjellström, 21 Feb 2018
RC2: 'Impacts of 0.5C less warming on European Region based on regional climate models', Anonymous Referee #2, 02 Jan 2018
- AC1: 'Response to review comments', Erik Kjellström, 21 Feb 2018

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (11 Mar 2018) by Zhenghui Xie

AR by Erik Kjellström on behalf of the Authors (12 Mar 2018)

ED: Publish as is (14 Mar 2018) by Zhenghui Xie

AR by Erik Kjellström on behalf of the Authors (13 Apr 2018)

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Short summary

Based on high-resolution regional climate models we investigate European climate change at 1.5 and 2 °C of global warming compared to pre-industrial levels. Considerable near-surface warming exceeding that of the global mean is found for most of Europe, already at the lower 1.5 °C of warming level. Changes in precipitation and near-surface wind speed are identified. The 1.5 °C of warming level shows significantly less change compared to the 2 °C level, indicating the importance of mitigation.

European climate change at global mean temperature increases of 1.5 and 2 °C above pre-industrial conditions as simulated by the EURO-CORDEX regional climate models

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Interactive discussion

Peer-review completion

European climate change at global mean temperature increases of 1.5 and 2 °C above pre-industrial conditions as simulated by the EURO-CORDEX regional climate models