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ESD | Articles | Volume 9, issue 2
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 441–458, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-441-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 441–458, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-441-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 03 May 2018

Research article | 03 May 2018

A global assessment of gross and net land change dynamics for current conditions and future scenarios

Richard Fuchs et al.
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Cited articles  
Alexandratos, N. and Bruinsma, J.: WORLD AGRICULTURE TOWARDS 2030/2050 The 2012 Revision, Food Agric. Organ. United Nations, 12, 146, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0264-8377(03)00047-4, 2012. 
Bayer, A. D., Lindeskog, M., Pugh, T. A. M., Anthoni, P. M., Fuchs, R., and Arneth, A.: Uncertainties in the land-use flux resulting from land-use change reconstructions and gross land transitions, Earth Syst. Dynam., 8, 91–111, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-91-2017, 2017. 
Bossard, M., Feranec, J., and Otahel, J.: CORINE land cover technical guide – Addendum 2000, Copenhagen, EEA – European Environmental Agency, 2000. 
Brovelli, M., Molinari, M., Hussein, E., Chen, J., and Li, R.: The First Comprehensive Accuracy Assessment of GlobeLand30 at a National Level: Methodology and Results, Remote Sens., 7, 4191–4212, https://doi.org/10.3390/rs70404191, 2015. 
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We analysed current global land change dynamics based on high-resolution (30–100 m) remote sensing products. We integrated these empirical data into a future simulation model to assess global land change dynamics in the future (2000 to 2040). The consideration of empirically derived land change dynamics in future models led globally to ca. 50 % more land changes than currently assumed in state-of-the-art models. This impacts the results of other global change studies (e.g. climate change).
We analysed current global land change dynamics based on high-resolution (30–100 m) remote...
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