Articles | Volume 9, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-299-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-299-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
28 Mar 2018
Research article |
| 28 Mar 2018
| 28 Mar 2018
Changes in extremely hot days under stabilized 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming scenarios as simulated by the HAPPI multi-model ensemble
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California 94720, USA
Dáithí Stone
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California 94720, USA
Dann Mitchell
School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
Hideo Shiogama
National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-8506, Japan
Erich Fischer
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Lise S. Graff
Development Center for Weather Forecasting Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway
Viatcheslav V. Kharin
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada
Ludwig Lierhammer
German Climate Computing Center, Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum, Hamburg, Germany
Benjamin Sanderson
National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA
Harinarayan Krishnan
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California 94720, USA
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- Global aridity changes due to differences in surface energy and water balance between 1.5 °C and 2 °C warming A. Takeshima et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab9db3
- High‐Temperature Extreme Events Over Africa Under 1.5 and 2 °C of Global Warming S. Nangombe et al. 10.1029/2018JD029747
- Attribution of 2022 early-spring heatwave in India and Pakistan to climate change: lessons in assessing vulnerability and preparedness in reducing impacts M. Zachariah et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/acf4b6
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- Climatic suitability and spatial distribution for summer maize cultivation in China at 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming Q. He et al. 10.1016/j.scib.2019.03.030
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26 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Characterization of long period return values of extreme daily temperature and precipitation in the CMIP6 models: Part 2, projections of future change M. Wehner 10.1016/j.wace.2020.100284
- Change in the heatwave statistical characteristics over China during the climate warming slowdown X. Li et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105152
- The 2021 heatwave was less rare in Western Canada than previously thought E. Malinina & N. Gillett 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100642
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- Transient and Quasi‐Equilibrium Climate States at 1.5°C and 2°C Global Warming A. King et al. 10.1029/2021EF002274
- Climate change impacts on crop yields E. Rezaei et al. 10.1038/s43017-023-00491-0
- Expansion of drylands in China with an additional half a degree warming Q. Yang et al. 10.1002/joc.7052
- Dipole response of early‐summer rainfall in eastern China to 1.5 and 2.0°C global warming Y. Lei et al. 10.1002/joc.7879
- Global aridity changes due to differences in surface energy and water balance between 1.5 °C and 2 °C warming A. Takeshima et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab9db3
- High‐Temperature Extreme Events Over Africa Under 1.5 and 2 °C of Global Warming S. Nangombe et al. 10.1029/2018JD029747
- Attribution of 2022 early-spring heatwave in India and Pakistan to climate change: lessons in assessing vulnerability and preparedness in reducing impacts M. Zachariah et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/acf4b6
- Heat wave Intensity Duration Frequency Curve: A Multivariate Approach for Hazard and Attribution Analysis O. Mazdiyasni et al. 10.1038/s41598-019-50643-w
- Half a degree and rapid socioeconomic development matter for heatwave risk S. Russo et al. 10.1038/s41467-018-08070-4
- Contribution of mean climate to hot temperature extremes for present and future climates A. Di Luca et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2020.100255
- Mid-summer surface air temperature and its internal variability over China at 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming S. YIN et al. 10.1016/j.accre.2020.09.005
- Inconsistent variation of return periods of temperature extremum in China and its projection based on CMIP6 results X. Kuang et al. 10.1007/s42452-021-04863-3
- Projected changes in mid–high‐latitude Eurasian climate during boreal spring in a 1.5 and 2°C warmer world S. Chen et al. 10.1002/joc.6306
- Temperature and Precipitation Extremes over the Iberian Peninsula under Climate Change Scenarios: A Review S. Pereira et al. 10.3390/cli9090139
- Deaths attributable to anomalous temperature: A generalizable metric for the health impact of global warming H. Liu et al. 10.1016/j.envint.2022.107520
- Implications of warming on western United States landfalling atmospheric rivers and their flood damages A. Rhoades et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2021.100326
- Differential Impacts of 1.5 and 2 °C Warming on Extreme Events Over China Using Statistically Downscaled and Bias‐Corrected CESM Low‐Warming Experiment Y. Yang et al. 10.1029/2018GL079272
- Climatic suitability and spatial distribution for summer maize cultivation in China at 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming Q. He et al. 10.1016/j.scib.2019.03.030
- Drylands climate response to transient and stabilized 2 °C and 1.5 °C global warming targets Y. Wei et al. 10.1007/s00382-019-04860-8
- Arctic amplification under global warming of 1.5 and 2 °C in NorESM1-Happi L. Graff et al. 10.5194/esd-10-569-2019
- Changes in extreme temperature over China when global warming stabilized at 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C C. Sun et al. 10.1038/s41598-019-50036-z
3 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Midlatitude atmospheric circulation responses under 1.5 and 2.0 °C warming and implications for regional impacts C. Li et al. 10.5194/esd-9-359-2018
- Changes in tropical cyclones under stabilized 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming scenarios as simulated by the Community Atmospheric Model under the HAPPI protocols M. Wehner et al. 10.5194/esd-9-187-2018
- The changes in the frequency of warm nights in Asia and the new climatic norms M. Kamangar & H. Shadman 10.1007/s00704-022-04183-5
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 24 Apr 2024
Short summary
The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change challenged the scientific community to describe the impacts of stabilizing the global temperature at its 21st Conference of Parties. A specific target of 1.5 °C above preindustrial levels had not been seriously considered by the climate modeling community prior to the Paris Agreement. This paper analyzes heat waves in simulations designed for this target. We find there are reductions in extreme temperature compared to a 2 °C target.
The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change challenged the scientific community to...
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