ESD Ideas: The stochastic climate model shows that underestimated Holocene trends and variability represent two sides of the same coin

Lohmann, Gerrit

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1279-2018

Articles | Volume 9, issue 4

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1279-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Special issue:

ESD Ideas

https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1279-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 9, issue 4

ESD Ideas

| Highlight paper

|

12 Nov 2018

ESD Ideas | Highlight paper |

| 12 Nov 2018

ESD Ideas: The stochastic climate model shows that underestimated Holocene trends and variability represent two sides of the same coin

Gerrit Lohmann

Data sets

A model-data comparison of the Holocene global sea surface temperature evolution G. Lohmann, M. Pfeiffer, T. Laepple, G. Leduc, and J.-H. Kim https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-1807-2013

Global and regional variability in marine surface temperatures T. Laepple and P. Huybers https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059345

Ocean Surface Temperature Variability: Large Model-data Differences at Decadal and Longer Periods T. Laepple and P. Huybers https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1412077111

Short summary

Long-term sea surface temperature trends and variability are underestimated in models compared to paleoclimate data. The idea is presented that the trends and variability are related, which is elaborated in a conceptual model framework. The temperature spectrum can be used to estimate the timescale-dependent climate sensitivity.