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Earth System Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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ESD | Articles | Volume 9, issue 4
ESD | Articles | Volume 9, issue 4
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 1279-1281, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1279-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Special issue: ESD Ideas

Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 1279-1281, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-1279-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
ESD | Articles | Volume 9, issue 4

ESD Ideas 12 Nov 2018

ESD Ideas | 12 Nov 2018

ESD Ideas: The stochastic climate model shows that underestimated Holocene trends and variability represent two sides of the same coin

Gerrit Lohmann
Data sets

A model-data comparison of the Holocene global sea surface temperature evolution G. Lohmann, M. Pfeiffer, T. Laepple, G. Leduc, and J.-H. Kim https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-1807-2013

Global and regional variability in marine surface temperatures T. Laepple and P. Huybers https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059345

Ocean Surface Temperature Variability: Large Model-data Differences at Decadal and Longer Periods T. Laepple and P. Huybers https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1412077111

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ESD Ideas
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Short summary
Long-term sea surface temperature trends and variability are underestimated in models compared to paleoclimate data. The idea is presented that the trends and variability are related, which is elaborated in a conceptual model framework. The temperature spectrum can be used to estimate the timescale-dependent climate sensitivity.
Long-term sea surface temperature trends and variability are underestimated in models compared...
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