Journal cover Journal topic
Earth System Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
Journal topic

Journal metrics

Journal metrics

  • IF value: 4.351 IF 4.351
  • IF 5-year value: 5.124 IF 5-year
    5.124
  • CiteScore value: 4.44 CiteScore
    4.44
  • SNIP value: 1.250 SNIP 1.250
  • IPP value: 4.10 IPP 4.10
  • SJR value: 2.203 SJR 2.203
  • Scimago H <br class='hide-on-tablet hide-on-mobile'>index value: 29 Scimago H
    index 29
  • h5-index value: 31 h5-index 31
Volume 8, issue 3
Earth Syst. Dynam., 8, 617–626, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-617-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue: The Earth system at a global warming of 1.5°C and 2.0°C

Earth Syst. Dynam., 8, 617–626, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-617-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Short communication 14 Jul 2017

Short communication | 14 Jul 2017

Flexible parameter-sparse global temperature time profiles that stabilise at 1.5 and 2.0  °C

Chris Huntingford et al.

Related authors

Technical note: Low meteorological influence found in 2019 Amazonia fires
Douglas I. Kelley, Chantelle Burton, Chris Huntingford, Megan A. J. Brown, Rhys Whitley, and Ning Dong
Biogeosciences Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-2020-123,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-2020-123, 2020
Preprint under review for BG
Short summary
Validation of demographic equilibrium theory against tree-size distributions and biomass density in Amazonia
Jonathan R. Moore, Arthur P. K. Argles, Kai Zhu, Chris Huntingford, and Peter M. Cox
Biogeosciences, 17, 1013–1032, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-1013-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-1013-2020, 2020
Short summary
Robust Ecosystem Demography (RED): a parsimonious approach to modelling vegetation dynamics in Earth System Models
Arthur P. K. Argles, Jonathan R. Moore, Chris Huntingford, Andrew J. Wiltshire, Chris D. Jones, and Peter M. Cox
Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2019-300,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2019-300, 2019
Revised manuscript under review for GMD
Short summary
How can the First ISLSCP Field Experiment contribute to present-day efforts to evaluate water stress in JULESv5.0?
Karina E. Williams, Anna B. Harper, Chris Huntingford, Lina M. Mercado, Camilla T. Mathison, Pete D. Falloon, Peter M. Cox, and Joon Kim
Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 3207–3240, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-3207-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-3207-2019, 2019
Short summary
Technical note: A simple theoretical model framework to describe plant stomatal “sluggishness” in response to elevated ozone concentrations
Chris Huntingford, Rebecca J. Oliver, Lina M. Mercado, and Stephen Sitch
Biogeosciences, 15, 5415–5422, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-5415-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-5415-2018, 2018
Short summary

Related subject area

Earth system change: climate scenarios
Differing precipitation response between solar radiation management and carbon dioxide removal due to fast and slow components
Anton Laakso, Peter K. Snyder, Stefan Liess, Antti-Ilari Partanen, and Dylan B. Millet
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 415–434, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-415-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-415-2020, 2020
Short summary
Changes in the future summer Mediterranean climate: contribution of teleconnections and local factors
Monika J. Barcikowska, Sarah B. Kapnick, Lakshmi Krishnamurty, Simone Russo, Annalisa Cherchi, and Chris K. Folland
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 161–181, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-161-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-161-2020, 2020
Projecting Antarctica's contribution to future sea level rise from basal ice shelf melt using linear response functions of 16 ice sheet models (LARMIP-2)
Anders Levermann, Ricarda Winkelmann, Torsten Albrecht, Heiko Goelzer, Nicholas R. Golledge, Ralf Greve, Philippe Huybrechts, Jim Jordan, Gunter Leguy, Daniel Martin, Mathieu Morlighem, Frank Pattyn, David Pollard, Aurelien Quiquet, Christian Rodehacke, Helene Seroussi, Johannes Sutter, Tong Zhang, Jonas Van Breedam, Reinhard Calov, Robert DeConto, Christophe Dumas, Julius Garbe, G. Hilmar Gudmundsson, Matthew J. Hoffman, Angelika Humbert, Thomas Kleiner, William H. Lipscomb, Malte Meinshausen, Esmond Ng, Sophie M. J. Nowicki, Mauro Perego, Stephen F. Price, Fuyuki Saito, Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel, Sainan Sun, and Roderik S. W. van de Wal
Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 35–76, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-35-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-35-2020, 2020
Short summary
Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple Large Ensembles and CMIP5/6
Flavio Lehner, Clara Deser, Nicola Maher, Jochem Marotzke, Erich Fischer, Lukas Brunner, Reto Knutti, and Ed Hawkins
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2019-93,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2019-93, 2020
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD
Short summary
Heat stress risk in European dairy cattle husbandry under different climate change scenarios – uncertainties and potential impacts
Sabrina Hempel, Christoph Menz, Severino Pinto, Elena Galán, David Janke, Fernando Estellés, Theresa Müschner-Siemens, Xiaoshuai Wang, Julia Heinicke, Guoqiang Zhang, Barbara Amon, Agustín del Prado, and Thomas Amon
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 859–884, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-859-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-859-2019, 2019
Short summary

Cited articles

Braganza, K., Karoly, D., Hirst, A., Mann, M., Stott, P., Stouffer, R., and Tett, S.: Simple indices of global climate variability and change: Part I – variability and correlation structure, Clim. Dynam., 20, 491–502, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-002-0286-0, 2003.
Cowtan, K., Hausfather, Z., Hawkins, E., Jacobs, P., Mann, M. E., Miller, S. K., Steinman, B. A., Stolpe, M. B., and Way, R. G.: Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperatures, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 6526–6534, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL064888, 2015.
Cox, P., Betts, R., Jones, C., Spall, S., and Totterdell, I.: Acceleration of global warming due to carbon-cycle feedbacks in a coupled climate model, Nature, 408, 184–187, https://doi.org/10.1038/35041539, 2000.
Hawkins, E., Ortega, P., Suckling, E., Schurer, A., Hegerl, G., Jones, P., Joshi, M., Osborn, T., Masson-Delmotte, V., Mignot, J., Thorne, P., and van Oldenborgh, G.: Estimating changes in global temperature since the pre-industrial period, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0007.1, 2017.
Publications Copernicus
Download
Short summary
Recent UNFCCC climate meetings have placed much emphasis on constraining global warming to remain below 2 °C. The 2015 Paris meeting went further and gave an aspiration to fulfil a 1.5 °C threshold. We provide a flexible set of algebraic global temperature profiles that stabilise to either target. This will potentially allow the climate research community to estimate local climatic implications for these temperature profiles, along with emissions trajectories to fulfil them.
Recent UNFCCC climate meetings have placed much emphasis on constraining global warming to...
Citation