Articles | Volume 8, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-387-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-387-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
31 May 2017
Research article |
| 31 May 2017
Refining multi-model projections of temperature extremes by evaluation against land–atmosphere coupling diagnostics
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Hans-Knöll-Str. 10, 07745 Jena, Germany
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich, 8075 Zurich, Switzerland
Jakob Zscheischler
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich, 8075 Zurich, Switzerland
Miguel D. Mahecha
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Hans-Knöll-Str. 10, 07745 Jena, Germany
Rene Orth
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich, 8075 Zurich, Switzerland
Markus Reichstein
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Hans-Knöll-Str. 10, 07745 Jena, Germany
Martha Vogel
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich, 8075 Zurich, Switzerland
Sonia I. Seneviratne
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich, 8075 Zurich, Switzerland
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- Soil heat extremes can outpace air temperature extremes A. García-García et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01812-3
- Toward Consistent Observational Constraints in Climate Predictions and Projections G. Hegerl et al. 10.3389/fclim.2021.678109
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- The Role of Circulation and Land Surface Conditions in Current and Future Australian Heat Waves P. Gibson et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0265.1
- Intensified Likelihood of Concurrent Warm and Dry Months Attributed to Anthropogenic Climate Change F. Chiang et al. 10.1029/2021WR030411
- A Review of Climate Change Attribution Studies P. Zhai et al. 10.1007/s13351-018-8041-6
- Do CMIP6 Climate Models Simulate Global or Regional Compound Events Skillfully? N. Ridder et al. 10.1029/2020GL091152
- A vast increase in heat exposure in the 21st century is driven by global warming and urban population growth T. Klein & W. Anderegg 10.1016/j.scs.2021.103098
- Land surface model influence on the simulated climatologies of temperature and precipitation extremes in the WRF v3.9 model over North America A. García-García et al. 10.5194/gmd-13-5345-2020
- Evaluating a land surface model at a water-limited site: implications for land surface contributions to droughts and heatwaves M. Mu et al. 10.5194/hess-25-447-2021
- Coupling between the terrestrial carbon and water cycles—a review P. Gentine et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab22d6
- How Daily Temperature and Precipitation Distributions Evolve With Global Surface Temperature. B. Samset et al. 10.1029/2019EF001160
- Soil Moisture–Evapotranspiration Coupling in CMIP5 Models: Relationship with Simulated Climate and Projections A. Berg & J. Sheffield 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0757.1
- How representative are FLUXNET measurements of surface fluxes during temperature extremes? S. van der Horst et al. 10.5194/bg-16-1829-2019
- Sensitivity of simulated climate over the MENA region related to different land surface schemes in the WRF model K. Constantinidou et al. 10.1007/s00704-020-03258-5
- Recent Progress and Emerging Topics on Weather and Climate Extremes Since the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Y. Chen et al. 10.1146/annurev-environ-102017-030052
- Evaluating CMIP6 model fidelity at simulating non-Gaussian temperature distribution tails A. Catalano et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab8cd0
- Human contribution to the record-breaking June and July 2019 heatwaves in Western Europe R. Vautard et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aba3d4
- The effect of univariate bias adjustment on multivariate hazard estimates J. Zscheischler et al. 10.5194/esd-10-31-2019
- Variations in the Simulation of Climate Change Impact Indices due to Different Land Surface Schemes over the Mediterranean, Middle East and Northern Africa K. Constantinidou et al. 10.3390/atmos10010026
- Inter-seasonal connection of typical European heatwave patterns to soil moisture E. Felsche et al. 10.1038/s41612-023-00330-5
- Verification of Land–Atmosphere Coupling in Forecast Models, Reanalyses, and Land Surface Models Using Flux Site Observations P. Dirmeyer et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-17-0152.1
- Prospects and Caveats of Weighting Climate Models for Summer Maximum Temperature Projections Over North America R. Lorenz et al. 10.1029/2017JD027992
- Observational evidence of regional increasing hot extreme accelerated by surface energy partitioning R. Wang et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0114.1
- Storylines of the 2018 Northern Hemisphere heatwave at pre-industrial and higher global warming levels K. Wehrli et al. 10.5194/esd-11-855-2020
- Removing Circulation Effects to Assess Central U.S. Land‐Atmosphere Interactions in the CESM Large Ensemble A. Merrifield et al. 10.1002/2017GL074831
- Evaluation of heat wave forecasts seamlessly across subseasonal timescales T. Ford et al. 10.1038/s41612-018-0027-7
- Disentangling synchrony from serial dependency in paired-event time series A. Odenweller & R. Donner 10.1103/PhysRevE.101.052213
- Impact of Deforestation on Land–Atmosphere Coupling Strength and Climate in Southeast Asia M. Tölle 10.3390/su12156140
- Varying soil moisture–atmosphere feedbacks explain divergent temperature extremes and precipitation projections in central Europe M. Vogel et al. 10.5194/esd-9-1107-2018
- Multi-year drought storylines for Europe and North America from an iteratively perturbed global climate model C. Gessner et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100512
- Evaluating the Contribution of Land‐Atmosphere Coupling to Heat Extremes in CMIP5 Models A. Ukkola et al. 10.1029/2018GL079102
- Climate model Selection by Independence, Performance, and Spread (ClimSIPS v1.0.1) for regional applications A. Merrifield et al. 10.5194/gmd-16-4715-2023
- Future climate risk from compound events J. Zscheischler et al. 10.1038/s41558-018-0156-3
- A theoretical approach to assess soil moisture–climate coupling across CMIP5 and GLACE-CMIP5 experiments C. Schwingshackl et al. 10.5194/esd-9-1217-2018
- Evaluating the dependence structure of compound precipitation and wind speed extremes J. Zscheischler et al. 10.5194/esd-12-1-2021
- Land transpiration-evaporation partitioning errors responsible for modeled summertime warm bias in the central United States J. Dong et al. 10.1038/s41467-021-27938-6
- Assessing the Dynamic Versus Thermodynamic Origin of Climate Model Biases K. Wehrli et al. 10.1029/2018GL079220
- CMIP6 MultiModel Evaluation of Present‐Day Heatwave Attributes A. Hirsch et al. 10.1029/2021GL095161
- WRF v.3.9 sensitivity to land surface model and horizontal resolution changes over North America A. García-García et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-413-2022
- Ocean and land forcing of the record-breaking Dust Bowl heatwaves across central United States T. Cowan et al. 10.1038/s41467-020-16676-w
Latest update: 19 Apr 2024
Short summary
The present study (1) evaluates land–atmosphere coupling in the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble against an ensemble of benchmarking datasets and (2) refines the model ensemble using a land–atmosphere coupling diagnostic as constraint. Our study demonstrates that a considerable fraction of coupled climate models overemphasize warm-season
moisture-limitedclimate regimes in midlatitude regions. This leads to biases in daily-scale temperature extremes, which are alleviated in a constrained ensemble.
The present study (1) evaluates land–atmosphere coupling in the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble...
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