The main objective of this work is to investigate at regional scale the
variability in burned areas over the savannahs of West Africa and their links
with the rainfall and the large-scale climatic indexes such as the Southern
Oscillation Index (SOI), Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI), North Atlantic
Oscillation (NAO) and sea surface temperature gradient (SSTG). Daily
satellite products (L3JRC) of burned areas from the SPOT Vegetation sensor at a
moderate spatial resolution of
Vegetation fire is an anthropic and ecological phenomenon that
is influenced by climate (Andersen et al., 2003). It therefore has an impact
on biogeochemical cycles at both local and global scales (Gill et al., 1990,
Cook, 1992). Reports suggest that the globally averaged burned vegetation
varies from 3.5 to 4.5
In Africa, savannah fires occur regularly (Menaut et al., 1991; Giglio et
al., 2010) and are influenced by the irregularities in seasonal
precipitation, which desiccate plants and thus make them more vulnerable to
fires during the dry seasons (Louppe et al., 1995; Cochrane, 2009). These
fires are usually set for socioeconomic reasons, including land
management, livestock grazing and crop production (Monnier, 1968; Mbow et
al., 2000; Laris, 2002, 2005; Bowman et al., 2011). Fires are used to clear
and stimulate grass regrowth for grazing. They are also used to prepare lands
for crop production, agricultural waste elimination and hunting. Lastly,
they are used as a preventive tool to control or minimize accidental fires
(Abbadie et al., 2006). Depending on the timing
(early, mid- or late season), the fires significantly influence
the structure of the landscape (Mbow et al., 2000; Laris, 2002) and cause
damage to woody plants (Louppe et al., 1995; Laris and Wardell,
2006; N'Dri et al., 2012). Thus, fires in Africa are a result of the relationship between the
regional climate, vegetation, land use and anthropogenic activities (Le Page
et al., 2010). Humans set fires for their social and economic activities, and climate determines
fires onset and burning times (Le Page et al., 2010). These fires affect
vegetation patterns and constitute a critical determinant in the
tree
Fuller and Murphy (2006) reported a high correlation between fire events,
the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and El Niño 3.4 index for forests
located between latitudes
The influences of the Pacific Ocean on West African rainfall patterns through ENSO teleconnection occur at around 3–7-year intervals (Joly and Voldoire, 2009). In addition, Hulme et al. (2001) showed that the impact of ENSO on the African climate was more pronounced in the rainy seasons over eastern equatorial Africa and southeastern Africa than in the Sahel. Bader and Latif (2003) showed in a modeling study that eastern Sahel rainfall was more sensitive to Pacific sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the 1950s than the western Sahel. Lu and Delworth (2005) found that the Pacific Ocean forcing was stronger than the Atlantic Ocean forcing. The complexity of the link between biomass burning activities in West Africa and large-scale climatic indexes are summarized in Riaño et al. (2007). Other studies have shown the relationships between climate indexes and fire activities in southeastern Asia, Central and South America, and the boreal regions of Eurasia and North America (van der Werf et al., 2004, 2006; Westerling et al., 2006). Boreal fires have been linked to ENSO, NAO, AO (Arctic Oscillation), PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation) and the AMO (Skinner et al., 2006; Balzter et al., 2007; Le Goff et al., 2007; Beverly et al., 2011).
Although most global models assume strong links between fire and climate, Archibald et al. (2010) argue that the assumptions underlying these models needed to be re-thought in systems such as the African savanna, where the “human impact on fire regimes is substantial, and acts to limit the responsiveness of fires to climatic events”. Other studies have shown that the savannah of West Africa have the least variability in fires of any environment on Earth (van der Werf et al., 2006; Giglio et al., 2010; Le Page et al., 2010) in spite of the fact that the region's climate (precipitation) varies substantially (Nicholson and Grist, 2001). This suggests a human control on fires that mediates the climatic influences. Other studies found that fires in African savannahs and especially in West Africa have very regular fire regimes in spite of a variable climate (Giglio et al., 2010; Archibald et al., 2010; Laris, 2013). Recent research works based on a global fire database generated from remotely sensed imagery clearly have shown that the savannahs of western and southern Africa were the areas with the least interannual variability in fires, as well as the most frequently and extensively burned (Giglio et al., 2010; Le Page et al., 2010). Given climate change predictions, it would be useful to know the extent to which climate control the burned areas across a range of vegetation and climate at the regional and subregional scale.
Several previous studies were performed from mesoscale to local scale with high-resolution multidisciplinary data such as from Laris (2002, 2011, 2013) and Le Page (2010) on the human role in fire variability. Our study focuses on the regional scale (West Africa), the potential links between climate indexes and burned areas derived from satellite. The aim is to point out the climate footprint in the fire phenomenon, known to be very complex and involving the human dimension. The main objective of this work is to investigate, at regional scales and from intraseasonal to interannual, the variability in burned areas over the savannahs of West Africa and their potential relationships with local climate (rainfall) and the large-scale climatic indexes such as SOI, MEI (Multivariate ENSO Index), NAO and SSTG (sea surface temperature gradient) in order to understand climate contribution to burned-area variability.
Annual mean rainfall and mean NOAA NDVI over the four sub regions.
West Africa, located between
The entire region was divided into four subclimatic regions
(Fig. 1d) according to Nicholson (2001) and Yamana and Eltahir
(2013) based on the broad vegetation gradient (from forest in the southern part
to the Sahelian savannah in the northern part) and the mean zonal distribution of
rainfall from south to north over the region, with the aim of giving an
overview of potential links between climate and variability in burned areas
in these subregions. The subclimatic regions or subregions were defined as
follows: subregion 1 (5–
Data on burned areas from the SPOT Vegetation satellite sensor were obtained
via the L3JRC project (Tansey et al., 2008). These data have been used in
numerous studies (Pfeifer et al., 2012; Giglio et al., 2010; Chang and Song,
2009; Roy and Boschetti, 2009), and the method used for the data acquisition
is described in detail by Tansey et al. (2008, 2004a, b). In this study, we used data with
The precipitation data from 1999 to 2006 provided by the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) 3B43 product (Huffman et al., 1995) were used in this paper. Data acquisition was based on the passive and active remote sensing in the visible, infrared and microwave wavelength bands. The positive biases in TRMM 3B43 over African tropical forest occur mainly during the dry season, especially over West Africa (Adeyewa and Nakamura, 2003).
MEI data are available from the NOAA website
(
The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) data used were provided by NOAA and
calculated following the method in Ropelewski and Jones (1987).
These data, from 1948 to present, are available at
The frequency of fire occurrence was calculated using Eq. (1):
Principal component analysis (PCA) was used to investigate the potential links between the climate indexes (MEI, SOI, NAO and SSTG) and the burned areas over the four subregions. PCA is a statistical tool applied to a large and multivariate data set with the purpose of reducing the dimensionality of a data set while retaining as much variation as possible present in the data set. Larger data sets are preferred in PCA because they tend to minimize errors due to spurious correlation and therefore increase the generalization of the results. As there were almost no burned areas during the rainy season over regions 1, 2 and 3 (Fig. 7), PCA was performed only for the months in the dry season.
The standardized anomalies of monthly burned areas for each of the four
subregions were calculated for the dry months (January, February, March,
October, November and December) over 7 years following Eq. (2):
Intra-annual variability in burned areas at the regional scale over West Africa between 1 April 2000 and 31 March 2007.
Intra-annual variability in burned areas for the four subregions at
monthly (upper row) and weekly timescale (lower row) for subregion 1
Figure 2 shows the intra-annual variability in burned areas at regional scale
over West Africa as observed during the 7 years. Burned areas were more
prevalent during the dry season, from October to March, and more than 96 %
of annually burned areas occurred between November and February. During the
entire investigated period, from 2000 to 2007, the season 2004–2005 recorded the
weakest burned areas, with a maximum burned area of 16 970 km
Figure 3 shows the intra-annual variability in burned areas for the four subregions on the monthly (left column) and weekly timescale (right column). The southern region near the Guinean coast (subregion 1) showed a smaller record of burned areas, as this region was primarily a forest region. In this region, the fire season starts in late November and ends in April (Fig. 3am). The variation at weekly time scale showed that there were 2–3 fire peaks occurring between December and February (Fig. 3aw), depending on the year.
Intra-annual variability in burned areas over the Guinean savannah (subregion 2) is shown in Figs. 3bm and bw. This is a region with a strong record of burned areas, starting from October and ending in April, with a constant peak in December (Fig. 3bm). The evolution on the weekly timescale showed that there were three peaks during the fire season, with the second peak being generally more intense than the other two, except for the 2003–2004 season (Fig. 3bw).
Spatial variability in burned areas (km
Figure 3cm shows that subregion 3, characterized by the Sudanian savannah, was the region where burned-area peaks were slightly more variable between November and January compared to subregion 2. The fire season started earlier in September and ended in April. The extents of burned areas were weak compared to subregion 2, and this region revealed at least three burned-area peaks during the fire season (Fig. 3cw).
Subregion 4 largely represented the Sahel, where burned areas appeared earlier in September, with a peak in November and at the end of the fire season between January and February (Fig. 3dm). The weekly evolution of burned areas showed that there were at most two peaks of short duration mainly between October and November (Fig. 3dw).
Figure 4 shows the spatial variability in burned areas from November to
February for the mean of the 7 years (left column) and for two contrasting
years, with high record of burned area between 2000 and 2001 (middle column)
and weak record of burned areas between 2004 and 2005 (right column). Fires
over West Africa were located between latitudes 5–
The averaged situation showed that fire season started in November with a first cluster over southeastern Senegal, southwestern Mali, northern Guinea and another over the northern Benin, southeastern Burkina Faso and northern Ghana. In December, the burned areas appeared over the northern part of Ghana, over Togo and the northeastern part of Côte d'Ivoire. The maximum fire activity was observed in January in the western part of West Africa from the northwestern part of Côte d'Ivoire to the southern part of Senegal, while in the eastern part of West Africa, burned areas had considerably decreased. In February, the burned areas had widely decreased throughout West Africa, and those observed were mainly located in Guinea, Guinea Bissau and the Gambia as well as over the southern part of Senegal. Over the eastern part of the region, late fires were observed toward the south, between the central part of Ghana and Togo and between the central part of Benin and the east of Nigeria. Burned areas were consistently present over the region between southeastern Senegal, southwestern Mali and the north of Guinea throughout the study period.
The comparison of an intense period (2000–2001) and a weak period (2004–2005) showed that these two contrasting periods had the same spatial distribution of burned areas, but in the latter the surfaces of burned areas were smaller, especially over the first cluster observed in November in the south of Burkina Faso, the northeast of Côte d'Ivoire, and the central and northern areas of the Ghana–Togo–Benin area, as well as in January over the second cluster in the southeast of Senegal and the northwest of Guinea. The season was also shorter during this time than during the intense period, especially over the cluster of Togo, Benin and Nigeria. During the active year 2000–2001, burned areas were also found over the west of Nigeria in January and February, while during the weak year 2004–2005 the fire season ends in November in this region. During the weak season 2004–2005, the fire season in the west and the north of Guinea started late in December and ended in February.
Mean spatial distribution of early fires that occurred in
Figure 5 shows the mean spatial distribution of early burned areas that occurred in October and late fires that appeared in March and April. At the regional scale, the fire season started in October over the western cluster in the southeast of Senegal and the west of Mali. Late fires in March were also located over the western side of the region, in a line between the south of Senegal, the west of Guinea, and the northwest of the Côte d'Ivoire, and in some years in the border region between Ghana and Côte d'Ivoire. Late fires in April were found over the southeast of Senegal.
Figure 6a shows the number of the times that a pixel had been burned over the study period. This figure has been summarized in Table 2 to indicate the frequency of fire occurrences and to suggest that approximately 28 % of West African burned areas occurred only once during the study period, 56 % burned between 2 and 3 times, and the remaining 16 % burned between 5 and 7 times, while 2 % of pixels were burned every year. The results showed that the percentages of burned areas decreased with fire occurrences. Fire frequency and return time as defined in Sect. 3.5 were used to distinguish between more burned and less burned areas (Fig. 6b). The most burned areas were predominantly located in subregions 2 and 3, where they represented respectively 32 and 32.2 % of the total burned areas, while subregions 1 and 4 yielded 6.6 and 4 %, respectively (Table 2). In subregion 3, the most frequently burned areas were located mainly in the west, represented on the cluster at southeast Senegal, west of Mali and northeast of Guinea. In region 2, these most burned areas were found everywhere, from the west of Guinea to Togo, with a peak in northern Ghana and the west of Côte d'Ivoire.
Over the Sahel, the usage of fire was mainly important at the western sides of Mali and Senegal. The practice of lighting fires was mainly important over Guinean and Sudanian savannas in areas located in southeast of Burkina Faso and in the northern part of the Côte d'Ivoire–Ghana border.
Figure 7 shows the interannual variability in burned areas for the four West
African subregions. Subregions 2 and 3 had larger burned areas than
subregions 1 and 4. Subregion 1 had the highest interannual variability
compare to the others. The two seasons of intense fire activities (during
2000–2001 and 2002–2003, with 7009 with 5401 km
Subregion 2 was the region where fire activity was more important in West
Africa, and showed the least variability during the study period, with maximums during 2000–2001 and 2003–2004 of 67 172 and 53 359 km
Subregions 3 and 4 had the same interannual variability with a decrease in
the burned areas from 2000–2001 to 2002–2003 with values of 15 097 and
229 km
Fire return time on the same pixels where fire occurred more than once between 1 April 2000 and 31 March 2007. Their proportions (%) are given in parentheses.
The interannual variability in burned areas for the four West
African subregions:
Figure 8a shows burned-area and rainfall time series over the study period for each of the subregions. In this subregion 1, the correlations were generally negative and weak (Fig. 8b), an indication that the bipolar rainfall season with associated high humidity was not favorable to a wide usage of fire. The negative correlation exhibit in Fig. 8b revealed that the high rainfall amount inhibited burned areas. Furthermore, the bipolar rainfall pattern also reduced the fire season length as well as the extent of burning when fires occurred. However, for subregion 1 (forest), the correlations were generally negative and weak, meaning that a wet rainfall season was associated with high humidity, which was not favorable to a wide usage of fire. Furthermore, the above factors acted to suppress the spread of fire when it occurred. In subregions 2 and 3, annual rainfall amount was enough to support biomass availability (Fig. 3). However, year-to-year variability in fires was predominantly controlled by human activities. For instance, Fig. 8b shows that both significantly positive and negative correlations were found between rainfall and burned areas, which could mean that human activities caused the fires, since rainfall amount over the region was the same. Therefore, areas where human activities induced or inhibited fires would have positive or negative correlation, respectively. Concerning subregion 4, the lowest rainfall amount occurring in this region inhibited burned areas by influencing biomass availability (Fig. 8a). Here, there were also both negative and positive correlations between burned areas and rainfall (Fig. 8b). This showed that, even in areas with limited rainfall, human activities still controlled year-to-year variability in burned areas. On average, rainfall may explain only 5, 15, 28 and 22 % of burned-area variability within subregions 1, 2, 3 and 4, respectively, based on the correlation coefficients.
Rainfall and fires over the West African domain.
Significant correlations (
In order to investigate the relationship between the burned-area anomalies and climate indexes, we retained only the most outstanding PCA axes between the two variables (burned area and each of the climate indexes – MEI, SOI, NAO and SSTG). The relationships between them revealed that they were not statistically independent and that there existed some correlation between them. We considered the correlation to be significant when it was equal to or greater than 0.7 in absolute value. Figure 9 shows correlations between monthly burned areas and climate indexes (red for positive correlations and blue for negative correlations) for the four subregions.
There were two main general remarks. The first one was that correlations
between SOI and the burned areas in the whole West African domain
were positive, with consistent links in subregions 3 and 4 between December
and January. It had been established that SOI and MEI generally
have opposite evolution; the correlations between MEI and the burned areas of
subregions 3 and 4 were negative in December–January. This teleconnection
with the Pacific Ocean may be explained by known relationships between
climate variability in subregions 3 and 4 and the ENSO mechanism (Janicot et
al., 1996; Bader and Latif, 2003; Lu and Delworth, 2005; Diatta and Fink,
2014). The second remark was that correlations between burned areas of
subregion 2 and all the large-scale indexes were weak. This may be
attributed to the fact that subregion 2 had a regular regime and mean
rainfall greater than 800
Specifically, the correlations between large-scales indexes and the burned surfaces of subregion 1 (forests) were low, except for the SST gradients over the Atlantic (SSTG), which were usually negative. The influence of NAO was not clear, as it showed both positive and negative correlations with the burned areas in subregions 1 and 3 and negative correlations with burned areas in subregions 2 and 4.
In this paper, L3JRC daily burned-area products from the SPOT Vegetation satellite sensor at moderate spatial
resolution of
To investigate this variability in the burned areas at the subregional scale, West Africa was divided into four subregions along broad climatic and vegetative gradient, from the extreme north to the extreme south, consisting of a variety of savannahs, including the Sahelian (subregion 4), Sudanian (subregion 3), Guinean (subregion 2) and forest (subregion 1) savannahs. While fire regimes at the regional scale appeared to be stable, at the subregional scale, depending on dominant vegetation type (forest, Guinean, Sudanian or Sahelian savannahs), fire regimes were variable for subregion 1, regular for subregions 2 and 3, and fairly regular for subregion 4.
Subregion 1 showed the weakest variability in fire regimes, which could be explained by its soil moisture due to the existence of forest vegetation. Soil moisture remains high in the forest region, thus inhibiting and limiting fire propagation. Dry and largely pastoral conditions may explain the more important variability in burned areas over subregion 4 compared to subregions 2 and 3, which were characterized by tall grass vegetation. Also, subregion 4 receives the lowest amount of rainfall and is well known for its important pastoral activities (Mbow et al., 2000).
In general, the African fire pattern was strongly associated with the southward movement of the ITCZ (monsoon retreat) over the region as proposed by Swap et al. (2002). The fire onsets in the northern subregions (subregions 3 and 4) occurred before the southern subregions (subregions 1 and 2). Regular regimes suggested that, in savannahs controlled by humans such as those found in West Africa, burned areas were not as strongly linked to climate (Archibald et al., 2010). Therefore climate played a secondary role and acted as a constraint on the starting and ending dates of fire settings (Le Page et al., 2010). However, in less regular regimes such as those observed in subregions 1 and 4, climate may play a more important role than just determining fire onset and cessation.
On a weekly timescale, sets of burned-area peaks were found mainly in subregions 2 and 3, in agreement with Laris (2002), who suggested that the first peaks were associated with fires which were set as a preventive measure to avoid damages from fires during the latter part of the season. They were easy to control since vegetation was too moist to burn. However, the second set of peaks was associated with fires set by farmers after harvest to avoid land damage. The spatial distribution of peak burned areas showed a displacement in a northeasterly direction, corresponding to the difference in the onset of the dry seasons over West Africa as well as the timing of the fire practices by the population. Thus, people set fires when the climate conditions allowed for vegetation to burn.
Investigations of the burned-area anomalies and large-scale climatic indexes (SOI, MEI, NAO and SSTG) have shown the existence of a possible relationship between burned areas and these climatic indexes, as a result of the complex teleconnection between these indexes and the West African monsoon rainfaill on the one hand and human controls on fire practices (Archibald et al., 2010; Laris, 2011) on the other. However, it was observed that, while subregion 1 was strongly correlated with Atlantic indexes, subregions 3 and 4 showed more correlations with Pacific indexes. Subregion 2 was less correlated with large-scale climate, suggesting the least contribution of the large scale to the regular fire regime.
The relation between fires and climate indexes that was found could be explained by their interactions with West African climate system through their induced atmospheric perturbations during both the monsoon and dry seasons. The positive (SOI) and negative (MEI) correlations found implied that the prevalent warm ENSO conditions (El Niño: negative SOI and positive MEI) tended to decrease fires, while cool ENSO conditions (La Niña: positive SOI and negative MEI) enhanced fires. This was mainly true for subregions 3 and 4, where the ENSO signature was stronger than the other regions (Janicot et al., 2001, 1996; Fontaine et al., 1998). In addition, Philipon et al. (2014) found a consistent signal of ENSO on vegetation in West Africa over both the Sahel and Guinean coastal regions, which is in accordance with our findings.
The Atlantic indexes were not clear, as both positive and negative correlations were found. A dominant negative correlation indicated an opposite phase between NAO and fires in subregions 2–4, which showed that an increase in fires was associated with a decrease in NAO. This was also consistent with previous studies which found that higher NAO were associated with drier conditions in northern hemispheric Africa (Moulin et al., 1997; Chiapello and Moulin, 2002; Mahowald et al., 2003; Chiapello et al., 2005). However, NAO and fire in subregion 1 remained unclear (positive and negative correlation); this may be due to the presence of weak fires.
A dominant negative signature of SSTG in subregion 1 revealed a trend showing a decrease in fires associated with an increase in the index, while fires in subregion 2 tended to increase with an increase in this index. It has been shown that, in general, warm SST anomalies in the Gulf of Guinea induce abundant rainfall over the Guinea coast region but drier conditions in the Sudan and Sahel zone to the north (Camberlin et al., 2001). In contrast, fires in subregions 2 and 3 remained stable with regards to the SSTG.
From the above results, fires in West Africa present a significant signature of large-scale climate variability. However, the length of the data remains a major limitation of this work. The present results do not attempt to refute or decouple fire practices in West Africa from the known human activities but instead try to point out another signature of climate which needs to be investigated in future works.
Despite their decoupled characters, large-scale climate indexes may contribute to the interannual burned-area variability. Also, the comparative influence of the different oceans needs to be investigated further with a longer time series. However, the short length and the intrinsic biases due to the moderate resolution (see Laris, 2005) of the present data do not allow for precise quantification of the contributions of the large-scale climate indexes to the West African burned-area variability. We suggest and encourage the production of long-term fire products for improving our understanding of the complex interaction between ecology, society and climate in West Africa.
We acknowledge the support provided through the RIPIECSA grant for this work and L3JRC for making the biomass burning data available. We are grateful to the Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) for allowing us use of the facilities during the revision processes. We also thank the entire team of the Lamto ecological station for their comments and observations. We are especially grateful to P. Laris, who contributed through his comments and suggestions on how to improve this work. We thank the anonymous reviewers and the editor, whose comments and suggestions greatly improved the manuscript. Finally, we thank Gregory Jenkins from Howard University, USA, and Jacques Gignoux from CNRS, France, for their contributions which helped in improving the manuscript. Edited by: S. Smith