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Earth System Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union

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Earth Syst. Dynam., 5, 423-439, 2014
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-423-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
01 Dec 2014
Continued increase in atmospheric CO2 seasonal amplitude in the 21st century projected by the CMIP5 Earth system models
F. Zhao and N. Zeng

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This paper presents the CMIP5 model predictions on the seasonal characteristics of global carbon cycle. We show a model consensus that the amplitude of this seasonal cycle will increase in the future under the RCP8.5 emission scenario. This is mostly due to enhanced ecosystem productivity in high latitude regions. While the models' ensemble CO2 amplitude increase is close to observation, our results suggest the underlying mechanisms may not be realistic.
This paper presents the CMIP5 model predictions on the seasonal characteristics of global carbon...
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