Articles | Volume 11, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-139-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-139-2020
Research article
 | 
17 Feb 2020
Research article |  | 17 Feb 2020

Emulating Earth system model temperatures with MESMER: from global mean temperature trajectories to grid-point-level realizations on land

Lea Beusch, Lukas Gudmundsson, and Sonia I. Seneviratne

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AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (28 Sep 2019) by Raghavan Krishnan
AR by Lea Beusch on behalf of the Authors (08 Nov 2019)  Author's response   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (06 Jan 2020) by Raghavan Krishnan
AR by Lea Beusch on behalf of the Authors (15 Jan 2020)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
Earth system models (ESMs) are invaluable to study the climate system but expensive to run. Here, we present a statistical tool which emulates ESMs at a negligible computational cost by creating stochastic realizations of yearly land temperature field time series. Thereby, 40 ESMs are considered, and for each ESM, a single simulation is required to train the tool. The resulting ESM-specific realizations closely resemble ESM simulations not employed during training at point to regional scales.
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