Journal cover Journal topic
Earth System Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
Journal topic

Journal metrics

Journal metrics

  • IF value: 4.351 IF 4.351
  • IF 5-year value: 5.124 IF 5-year
    5.124
  • CiteScore value: 4.44 CiteScore
    4.44
  • SNIP value: 1.250 SNIP 1.250
  • IPP value: 4.10 IPP 4.10
  • SJR value: 2.203 SJR 2.203
  • Scimago H <br class='hide-on-tablet hide-on-mobile'>index value: 29 Scimago H
    index 29
  • h5-index value: 31 h5-index 31
ESD | Articles | Volume 10, issue 1
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 171–187, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-171-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 171–187, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-171-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 20 Mar 2019

Research article | 20 Mar 2019

Development and prospects of the regional MiKlip decadal prediction system over Europe: predictive skill, added value of regionalization, and ensemble size dependency

Mark Reyers et al.
Related authors  
More homogeneous wind conditions under strong climate change decrease the potential for inter-state balancing of electricity in Europe
Jan Wohland, Mark Reyers, Juliane Weber, and Dirk Witthaut
Earth Syst. Dynam., 8, 1047–1060, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-1047-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-1047-2017, 2017
Short summary
Related subject area  
Dynamics of the Earth system: models
Downslope windstorms in the Isthmus of Tehuantepec during Tehuantepecer events: a numerical study with WRF high-resolution simulations
Miguel A. Prósper, Ian Sosa Tinoco, Carlos Otero-Casal, and Gonzalo Miguez-Macho
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 485–499, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-485-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-485-2019, 2019
Short summary
A radiative-convective model based on constrained maximum entropy production
Vincent Labarre, Didier Paillard, and Bérengère Dubrulle
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 365–378, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-365-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-365-2019, 2019
Short summary
Contributions of climate change and groundwater extraction to soil moisture trends
Longhuan Wang, Zhenghui Xie, Binghao Jia, Jinbo Xie, Yan Wang, Bin Liu, Ruichao Li, and Si Chen
Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2019-26,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2019-26, 2019
Revised manuscript accepted for ESD
Short summary
ESD Ideas: Propagation of high-frequency forcing to ice age dynamics
Mikhail Y. Verbitsky, Michel Crucifix, and Dmitry M. Volobuev
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 257–260, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-257-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-257-2019, 2019
Short summary
Climatological moisture sources for the Western North American Monsoon through a Lagrangian approach: their influence on precipitation intensity
Paulina Ordoñez, Raquel Nieto, Luis Gimeno, Pedro Ribera, David Gallego, Carlos Abraham Ochoa-Moya, and Arturo Ignacio Quintanar
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 59–72, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-59-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-59-2019, 2019
Short summary
Cited articles  
Akhtar, N., Brauch, J., and Ahrens, B.: Climate Modeling over the Mediterranean Sea: Impact of Resolution and Ocean Coupling, Clim. Dynam., 51, 933–948, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3570-8, 2017. 
Balmaseda, M. A., Mogensen, K., and Weaver, A. T.: Evaluation of the ECMWF ocean reanalysis system ORAS4, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 139, 1132–1161, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2063, 2013. 
Benestad, R. E. and Mezghani, A.: On downscaling probabilities for heavy 24-hour precipitation events at seasonal-to-decadal scales, Tellus A, 67, 25954, https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v67.25954, 2015. 
Berg, P., Wagner, S., Kunstmann, S., and Schaedler, G.: High resolution regional climate model simulations for Germany: part I – validation, Clim. Dynam., 40, 401–414, 2013. 
Boer, G. J., Smith, D. M., Cassou, C., Doblas-Reyes, F., Danabasoglu, G., Kirtman, B., Kushnir, Y., Kimoto, M., Meehl, G. A., Msadek, R., Mueller, W. A., Taylor, K. E., Zwiers, F., Rixen, M., Ruprich-Robert, Y., and Eade, R.: The Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) contribution to CMIP6, Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 3751–3777, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3751-2016, 2016. 
Publications Copernicus
Download
Short summary
In this study, the regional MiKlip decadal prediction system is evaluated. This system has been established to deliver highly resolved forecasts for the timescale of 1 to 10 years for Europe. Evidence of the general potential for regional decadal predictability for the variables temperature, precipitation, and wind speed is provided, but the performance of the prediction system depends on region, variable, and system generation.
In this study, the regional MiKlip decadal prediction system is evaluated. This system has been...
Citation