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Earth System Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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ESD | Articles | Volume 10, issue 1
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 171–187, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-171-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 171–187, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-171-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 20 Mar 2019

Research article | 20 Mar 2019

Development and prospects of the regional MiKlip decadal prediction system over Europe: predictive skill, added value of regionalization, and ensemble size dependency

Mark Reyers et al.
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Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer review completion
AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (01 Feb 2018) by Andrey Gritsun
AR by Mark Reyers on behalf of the Authors (03 May 2018)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (18 May 2018) by Andrey Gritsun
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (03 Jun 2018)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (03 Sep 2018)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (19 Sep 2018) by Andrey Gritsun
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (22 Nov 2018) by Andrey Gritsun
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (28 Jan 2019)
AR by Anna Mirena Feist-Polner on behalf of the Authors (21 Dec 2018)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (04 Feb 2019) by Andrey Gritsun
AR by Mark Reyers on behalf of the Authors (13 Feb 2019)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (01 Mar 2019) by Andrey Gritsun
AR by Mark Reyers on behalf of the Authors (07 Mar 2019)  Author's response    Manuscript
Publications Copernicus
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Short summary
In this study, the regional MiKlip decadal prediction system is evaluated. This system has been established to deliver highly resolved forecasts for the timescale of 1 to 10 years for Europe. Evidence of the general potential for regional decadal predictability for the variables temperature, precipitation, and wind speed is provided, but the performance of the prediction system depends on region, variable, and system generation.
In this study, the regional MiKlip decadal prediction system is evaluated. This system has been...
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