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ESD | Articles | Volume 10, issue 1
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 135-155, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-135-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Earth Syst. Dynam., 10, 135-155, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-135-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 14 Mar 2019

Research article | 14 Mar 2019

On the future role of the most parsimonious climate module in integrated assessment

Mohammad M. Khabbazan and Hermann Held
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Revised manuscript not accepted
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Cited articles  
Andrews, D. G. and Allen, M. R.: Diagnosis of climate models in terms of transient climate response and feedback response time, Atmos. Sci. Lett., 9, 7–12, 2008. 
Anthoff, D. and Tol, R. S. J.: The Climate Framework for Uncertainty, Negotiation and Distribution (FUND): Technical description, Version 3.6, available at: http://www.fund-model.org (last access: 30 November 2016), 2014. 
Bindoff, N. L., Stott, P. A., AchutaRao, K. M., Allen, M. R., Gillett, N., Gutzler, D., Hansingo, K., Hegerl, G., Hu, Y., Jain, S., Mokhov, I. I., Overland, J., Perlwitz, J., Sebbari, R., and Zhang, X.: Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional, in: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Stocker, T. F., Qin, D., Plattner, G.-K., Tignor, M., Allen, S. K., Boschung, J., Nauels, A., Xia, Y., Bex, V., and Midgley, P. M., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, 2013. 
Bruckner, T., Petschel-Held, G., Leimbach, M., and Toth, F. L.: Methodological aspects of the tolerable windows approach, Climatic Change, 56, 73–89, 2003. 
Calel, R. and Stainforth, D. A.: On the Physics of three Integrated Assessment Models, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 98, 1199–1216, 2017. 
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We find that for mitigation scenarios, prescribing atmosphere–ocean general circulation models' (AOGCMs') respective equilibrium climate sensitivities (ECSs) and transient climate responses (TCRs) to the one-box model results in too high global mean temperature projections due to the information loss resulting from the reduction of complexity. The one-box model offers a good emulator of these AOGCMs, provided the AOGCM's ECS and TCR values are mapped onto effective one-box counterparts.
We find that for mitigation scenarios, prescribing atmosphere–ocean general circulation models'...
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